Skip to content
TAP.
Tech

· 8 min read

Google may have to put ChatGPT and Perplexity beside Search. The fight is really about the default.

UK regulators have proposed putting AI assistants on Android and Chrome search-choice screens, while publisher disputes are putting pressure on how Google uses and pays for content. The bigger shift is distribution: the next search war may be decided before anyone types a query.

For years, the most important competition in search happened after you typed something.

Google tried to rank the best page. Bing tried to take share. Publishers fought for the first few blue links. Advertisers fought for the space above them.

AI is moving part of that competition earlier.

The new question is not only which system gives the best answer. It is which system gets to be the box you see first.

That is why a regulatory proposal in the United Kingdom matters far beyond one settings screen. The UK Competition and Markets Authority has proposed that Google show users a choice of search providers on Android and Chrome, and Reuters reported that AI assistants such as ChatGPT and Perplexity could be included among those choices.

A default is not a neutral setting

Defaults shape behavior because most people do not constantly reconfigure the tools they use. The search engine built into a browser, the map app that opens automatically, the assistant on a phone and the payment method already saved at checkout all benefit from the same advantage: convenience.

Traditional search competition therefore depended heavily on distribution. A search engine could be excellent and still struggle if users rarely encountered it.

AI assistants change the list of possible competitors. ChatGPT and Perplexity do not need to copy a classic search-results page exactly. They can answer, summarize, compare, browse, cite and increasingly act on a user’s behalf.

If regulators treat those systems as realistic alternatives to Google Search, the category itself has changed. ‘Search provider’ no longer has to mean ‘website that returns ten links.’

Google is being squeezed from two directions

The distribution fight is only one side of the pressure.

The other side is content. Search engines and AI systems need information created by publishers, businesses, researchers, governments and individuals. The economic argument is becoming sharper as more of that information is summarized before a user visits the source.

On October 5, Reuters reported that Poland’s competition authority suspected Google of abusing its dominant position in negotiations with media publishers over payment for displaying news content. The Polish case concerns publisher compensation and bargaining power, not the UK choice-screen proposal, but the two disputes point toward the same structural issue.

Google sits between the people producing information and the people trying to find it.

That position is valuable because Google can influence both sides of the transaction: which sources are visible and which interface users encounter first.

AI answers make the old bargain harder to see

The old search bargain was easy to understand. A publisher allowed a search engine to index a page. The search engine displayed a result. The user clicked through. The publisher got attention that could become advertising revenue, subscriptions, sales or influence.

AI answers complicate that exchange.

A system can use multiple sources to produce a useful answer while sending fewer visits to any individual source. A publisher can technically receive attribution but still lose the economic value of the click.

Chegg and Penske Media argued in U.S. lawsuits that Google’s AI Overviews harmed traffic and revenue. A federal judge dismissed those antitrust claims in October, according to Reuters. The legal defeat does not make the economic tension disappear. It simply means that those particular claims did not succeed under the law that was used.

Google’s position is that AI-powered Search still sends substantial traffic to websites and that the company is building more ways for users to discover sources. Google also says AI Mode has surpassed one billion monthly users and that AI-driven queries are expanding how people use Search.

The next search war has three battlefields

The first is answer quality: which system is most useful, accurate and trustworthy.

The second is distribution: which system becomes the default interface on a phone, browser or operating system.

The third is supply: whether the publishers and websites supplying the information believe the exchange is still worth it.

A company can win one battlefield and lose another. An AI assistant can be better at certain queries but lack distribution. Google can own distribution but face pressure over how it treats sources. Publishers can demand compensation but still depend on platforms for discovery.

That is why the UK proposal matters.

A choice screen looks like a small piece of interface design. But interfaces decide habits, habits decide market share, and market share decides who gets to mediate the next question.

The next search war may begin before the search.